๐Ÿ’Ž On the danger of priming in surveys (beware inflated responses)

The responses to questions can also be influenced by what has been asked beforehand, a process known as priming. Official surveys of wellbeing estimate that around 10% of young people in the UK consider themselves lonely, but an online questionnaire by the BBC found the far higher proportion of 42% among those choosing to answer. This figure may have been inflated by two factors: the self-reported nature of the voluntary ‘survey’, and the fact that the question about loneliness had been preceded by a long series of enquires as to whether the respondent in general felt a lack of companionship, isolated, left out, and so on, all of which might have primed them to give a positive response to the crucial question of feeling lonely.

Excerpt from: The Art of Statistics: Learning from Data by David Spiegelhalter

๐Ÿ’Ž Interesting reframing of how much Spotify pay musicians

If we take the UKโ€™s most listened-to radio show- BBC Radio 2โ€™s Breakfast Show โ€“ then the songwriter can expect the Performing Right Society for Music expect Phonographic Performance Limited (PPL) to collect roughly ยฃ60. Stare at a royalty statement which lists ยฃ150 for a spin alongside ยฃ0.005 for a stream and you can understand the fear of letting go of the old wine.

But the economics don’t support that fear. A ‘spin’ on BBC Radio 2’s Breakfast Show will reach 8 million people; you need therefore to divide the ยฃ150 by the 8 million pairs of ears to get a comparative unit value per listener, and this results in ยฃ0.00002 – which is less than half a percent of the ยฃ 0.005 that you would get from one unique person on a streaming service. What’s more, this is not an either/or comparison as those who listen to it on the radio may be more inclined to stream it on Spotify. To bring this calculation full circle, had those 8 million listeners streamed the song on Spotify (which is not beyond the realms of possibility), a cheque of ยฃ40,000 would be paid across to the artist and songwriter – not ยฃ150.ย  ‘Not too shabby’ as some Americans like to say.

Excerpt from: Tarzan Economics: Eight Principles for Pivoting through Disruption by Will Page